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Passing Shots

The Fifth Set Blog

Topics: Asset Allocation, Bonds, Efficient Market Hypothesis, Evidence-Based Investing, Fiduciary, Fixed Income, Index Investing, Investor Behavior, Long-term investing, Portfolio Management, Uncategorized

What is Wrong with Selling Now and Getting Back in When Things are Calmer: Nothing! But Not for the Reason You Think.

Why not sell out and get back in when things are calmer?  That is the question many investors are asking as the Coronavirus-provoked market volatility continues.  At first glance, it may seem obvious why that is a bad idea.  The wisdom of holding on and  …read more »

The Coronavirus Market Meltdown Continues – Two Ways to Place the Volatility in Context

This morning global equity markets continued the recent volatility around the Coronavirus’ human and economic impacts.  As of this morning, the S&P 500 is trading down roughly 5% and since February 20th, 2020, the S&P is down roughly 17%.   The uncertainly around the virus and  …read more »

Six Quick Thoughts on the Coronavirus Market Meltdown

As I sit to write this post, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down just less than 1,000 points.  Concerns around the impact of the Coronavirus on both human lives and economic growth is dragging down global equity markets.  Investors are understandably concerned about what  …read more »

Long-Term Equity Returns – A Reasonable Expectation

As we begin the new decade, I thought this would be a good time to consider what a reasonable long-term equity return expectation might look like. While not particularly helpful for short-term strategies, setting long-term expectations has several benefits for investors including: Long-term planning –  …read more »

IPOs – High Profiles, Low Returns – Following the Evidence

One of the benefits derived from the evidence-based investment approach is the systematic avoidance of underperforming investment strategies.  Media narratives and marketing drive many of these strategies, that while they might help increase advertising sales and commissions, do little to help investors develop successful investment  …read more »

U.S. News & World Report: Ian Post on “7 Ways Millennials Are Becoming Great Investors”

Read Ian’s comments in a recent U.S. News & World Report article that looks at what we can learn from the way Millennials invest… Millennials know to start saving early. The best thing you can do for your investments is start early. “Through compounding and  …read more »

Investors Are Usually Wrong

In a recent New York Times article, Jeff Sommer, discussed the implications of new data from Dalbar, a research firm that studies the behavior of mutual fund investors.  Their latest research shows that over the past 10 years, stock investors under-performed the S&P 500 by  …read more »

The Guru and The Investor: Act 2 – The Evidence-Based Advisor Strikes Back

Act Two The Setting Following his interview of a hedge-fund manager to see if he should manage his retirement assets, the Investor turns his search to a different type of advisor, for a philosophy based on something called ‘evidence-based investing’.  This seemingly outlandish idea is  …read more »

The Evidence is in (Again). Indexing Beats Active Management.

S&P Dow Jones Indices released their latest SPIVA (S&P Index vs Active) scorecard for the period ending December 2018.  If you’re a fan of active fund managers, the news is not good. Following are some quick data points and a video from NBR with Bob  …read more »

The Guru and The Investor: A Hedge Fund Story

Act One The Setting Guru appears on CNBC to explain what will happen with interest rates, Brexit, and the economy over the next two years.  Investor sees Guru on TV and assumes that CNBC would only have people on their shows who knew what they  …read more »