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Passing Shots

The Fifth Set Blog

Topics: Active vs Passive, Asset Allocation, Efficient Market Hypothesis, Evidence-Based Investing, Long-term investing, Portfolio Management, Random Walk, Risk Premium

The Coronavirus Market Correction – Two Ways to Place Volatility in Context – An Update

Since our March 9th note placing current market volatility in context, the market, as measured by the S&P 500, has continued to see major swings in both directions.  S&P 500 daily losses of 4.9%, 9.5%, 12%, 5.2% and 4.3% have occurred as well as daily  …read more »

Long-Term Equity Returns – A Reasonable Expectation

As we begin the new decade, I thought this would be a good time to consider what a reasonable long-term equity return expectation might look like. While not particularly helpful for short-term strategies, setting long-term expectations has several benefits for investors including: Long-term planning –  …read more »

Seven Bullet Points to Address Investor Client Standard of Care

The financial advice industry has long been separated between 1) Registered Investment Advisor firms (RIAs), which operate under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and whose representatives’ duty is to deliver investment advice, and 2) Broker-Dealers, whose representatives are in the business of selling financial  …read more »

U.S. News & World Report: Ian Post on “7 Ways Millennials Are Becoming Great Investors”

Read Ian’s comments in a recent U.S. News & World Report article that looks at what we can learn from the way Millennials invest… Millennials know to start saving early. The best thing you can do for your investments is start early. “Through compounding and  …read more »

Investors Are Usually Wrong

In a recent New York Times article, Jeff Sommer, discussed the implications of new data from Dalbar, a research firm that studies the behavior of mutual fund investors.  Their latest research shows that over the past 10 years, stock investors under-performed the S&P 500 by  …read more »

Interest Rate Changes and Stock Returns – A Way to Actively Position Stock Portfolios?

Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve recently signaled the Fed’s readiness to cut the target for short term interest rates (federal funds rate) at the next meeting on July 30th and 31st.  According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, as of 7/19/19, the  …read more »

The Guru and The Investor: Act 2 – The Evidence-Based Advisor Strikes Back

Act Two The Setting Following his interview of a hedge-fund manager to see if he should manage his retirement assets, the Investor turns his search to a different type of advisor, for a philosophy based on something called ‘evidence-based investing’.  This seemingly outlandish idea is  …read more »

The Evidence is in (Again). Indexing Beats Active Management.

S&P Dow Jones Indices released their latest SPIVA (S&P Index vs Active) scorecard for the period ending December 2018.  If you’re a fan of active fund managers, the news is not good. Following are some quick data points and a video from NBR with Bob  …read more »

The Guru and The Investor: A Hedge Fund Story

Act One The Setting Guru appears on CNBC to explain what will happen with interest rates, Brexit, and the economy over the next two years.  Investor sees Guru on TV and assumes that CNBC would only have people on their shows who knew what they  …read more »

Déjà Vu All Over Again

Investment fads do not lead to investment success.  Discipline to a long-term investment strategy is the key.   This post from Dimensional Fund Advisors offers a compelling rebuttal of past investment fads and an alternative investment approach driven by evidence and academic research…     Ianis  …read more »